Peace, Conflicts and the Economy

June 4th 2026

2.00 pm | Welcome

• Raul CARUSO, Department of Economic Policy and IPSC, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

2.05 p.m.-2.40 p.m. | Butter, Guns and Ice Cream under Climate Shocks: Scarcity Pricing, Predation and Price Stabilization

• Anna BALESTRA, IPSC, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
• Raul CARUSO, Department of Economic Policy and IPSC, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

14.45-15.20 | Drivers of Post-Conflict Return Intentions among Ukrainian Refugees

• Joop ADEMA, University of Innsbruck
• Lasha CHARGAZIIA, ifo Institute, LMU Munich
• Yvonne GIESING, ifo Institute, LMU Munich
• Sarah NECKER, ifo Institute, FAU Erlangen-Nürnberg
• Panu POUTVAARA, ifo Institute, LMU Munich

15.25-16.00 | For Kin and Country: Russia's Invasion of Ukraine and Immigrant Wellbeing in the UK

• Vincenzo BOVE, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca
• Georgios EFTHYVOULOU, University of Sheffield
• Harry PICKARD, Newcastle University Business School

4.15 p.m.-4.50 p.m. | Public Lighting and Crime: Evidence from a Low-Income Setting

• Elias Ndatabaye MAOMBI, University of Antwerp
• Nik STOOP, University of Antwerp
• Marijke VERPOORTEN, University of Antwerp

4.55 p.m.-5.30 p.m. | Shutdowns

• Victoire GIRARD, Nova School of Business and Economics
• Alex ARMAND, Nova School of Business and Economics, CEPR, NOVAFRICA, Institute for Fiscal Studies

17.35-18.10 | The Alpha Political Male

• Mario F. CARILLO, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, IPEG
• Marta REYNAL-QUEROL, UPF-ICREA, BSE, IPEG

June 5th 2026

9.00-9.35 | Dust

• Michele DI MAIO, Sapienza University of Rome
• Valerio LEONE SCIABOLAZZA, Sapienza University of Rome
• Dario PANTANO, Sapienza University of Rome

9.40-10.15 | The Dark Side of Sanctions: Evidence from Nighttime Lights

• Klaus GRÜNDLER, University of Kassel
• Jerg GUTMANN, University of Hamburg
• Matthias NEUENKIRCH, University of Trier

10.20-10.55 | Hidden Military Financing

• Niklas POTRAFKE, ifo Institute, LMU Munich
• Stefan SMUTNY, ifo Institute, LMU Munich
• Tuuli TÄHTINEN, ifo Institute, LMU Munich

11.10-11.45 | The State and the Citizen Dilemma. Exposure to Political Violence, Individual Liberties and Community Safety

• Stefano COSTALLI, University of Florence
• Aldo PAPARO, University of Florence
• Andrea RUGGERI, University of Milan

11.50-12.25 | Ethnic Cues and Conflict-Triggered Harassment: Evidencefrom Soccer Fields

• Asli CANSUNAR, University of Washington
• Arzu KIBRIS, University of Warwick
• Efe TOKDEMIR, Bilkent University

13.25-14.00 | Cocaine Goes Bananas: Global Spillovers from an Illicit Supply Shock

• Gianmarco DANIELE, University of Milan, Bocconi University
• Adam SOLIMAN, Clemson University
• Juan F. VARGAS, Collegio Carlo Alberto, University of Turin

2.05 p.m.-2.40 p.m. | Climate Shocks, Armed Conflict, and Employment: Evidence from 21 African Countries

• Wolfgang STOJETZ, ISDC, Humboldt University of Berlin
• Carlo AZZARI, International Food Policy Research Institute
• Erdgin MANE, Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN
• Tilman BRÜCK, ISDC, Humboldt University of Berlin

14.45-15.20 | Land-use Transformation and Conflict: the Effects of Oil Palm Expansion in Indonesia

• Elías CISNEROS, University of Texas at Dallas
• Tobias HELLMUNDT, University of Göttingen
• Krisztina KIS-KATOS, University of Göttingen

15.25-16.00 | Consider the Lobster: Unintended Consequences of a Labor Market Reform in Indonesia

• Michele DI MAIO, Sapienza University of Rome
• Valerio LEONE SCIABOLAZZA, Sapienza University of Rome
• Samuel NOCITO, Sapienza University of Rome
• Dario PANTANO, Sapienza University of Rome

16.05-16.10 | Closing greetings

• Raul CARUSO, Department of Economic Policy and IPSC, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

In collaboration with the Department of Economic Policy, ASERI, NEPS and EPS.
Project of significant interest for the University "Democracy: An Investment in Welfare and Peace" line of intervention D.3.2.